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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+3.70vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+6.07vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.49+7.46vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.84+4.80vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.82+0.46vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.46+0.66vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.07+1.07vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.43-1.32vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.02+2.84vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.29-2.53vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.44-0.46vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.30-4.46vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.03-4.87vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-4.55vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.62-5.37vs Predicted
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16Bates College-0.32-0.71vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.08-2.51vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-3.05-0.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.7Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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8.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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10.46Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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8.8University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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5.46Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.66Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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8.07Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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6.68Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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11.84Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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7.47Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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10.54Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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7.54Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.13Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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9.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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9.63Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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15.29Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
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14.49University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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17.73Maine Maritime Academy-3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 16.1% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 14.2% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 5.2% | 0.3% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Yolles | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 19.5% | 46.5% | 5.5% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 26.4% | 31.2% | 2.7% |
| Sarah Evans | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 4.7% | 91.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.