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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.73+7.34vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+7.68vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+1.55vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.47+1.73vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.30+4.64vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.91-1.51vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+0.51vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.01-0.79vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.55-3.55vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.33-3.58vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.52-1.95vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.76-0.27vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.25-3.29vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.13-4.00vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.14-1.84vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.77-0.86vs Predicted
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17Bates College-2.94+0.59vs Predicted
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18Boston University-1.11-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.34Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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4.55Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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5.73Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.64Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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4.49Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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7.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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7.21Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.45Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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6.42Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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9.05Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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11.73University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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9.71Bowdoin College1.250.0%1st Place
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10.0Tufts University1.130.0%1st Place
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13.16University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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15.14Maine Maritime Academy-0.770.0%1st Place
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17.59Bates College-2.940.0%1st Place
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15.58Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Laura Slovensky | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.3% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 15.1% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.9% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 11.2% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Christine Reimer | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 13.0% | 22.2% | 17.4% | 9.0% | 1.0% |
| Anna LaDue | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 28.0% | 32.0% | 5.4% |
| Emily DeLossa | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 4.1% | 8.8% | 83.2% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 8.5% | 22.3% | 42.5% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.