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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.91+3.67vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+2.55vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.73+5.44vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.47+1.73vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.33+1.14vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.55-0.48vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+0.46vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.52+0.89vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+0.38vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.25+0.05vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.76+0.50vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.30-2.08vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.01-5.83vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.13-4.08vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.77+0.16vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island0.14-2.74vs Predicted
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17Boston University-1.11-1.27vs Predicted
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18Bates College-2.94-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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4.55Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.44Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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5.73Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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6.14Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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5.52Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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7.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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8.89Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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9.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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10.05Bowdoin College1.250.0%1st Place
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11.5University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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9.92Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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7.17Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.92Tufts University1.130.0%1st Place
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15.16Maine Maritime Academy-0.770.0%1st Place
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13.26University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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15.73Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
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17.51Bates College-2.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 13.9% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.7% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 11.6% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Laura Slovensky | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christine Reimer | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Anna LaDue | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 13.5% | 28.2% | 31.5% | 5.4% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 13.0% | 20.9% | 19.7% | 8.9% | 1.3% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 19.8% | 44.7% | 10.6% |
| Emily DeLossa | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 8.6% | 82.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.