← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.55+4.74vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.92+2.53vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College1.25+7.10vs Predicted
-
4Boston College2.91+0.44vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.01+2.18vs Predicted
-
6Brown University1.73+2.21vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.30+2.61vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University2.47-2.32vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.13+1.23vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.52-0.87vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-3.45vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College2.33-5.51vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont0.76-1.69vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-4.81vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island0.14-1.82vs Predicted
-
16Boston University-1.11-0.27vs Predicted
-
17Maine Maritime Academy-0.77-1.82vs Predicted
-
18Bates College-2.94-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.74Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
-
4.53Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
-
10.1Bowdoin College1.250.0%1st Place
-
4.44Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
-
7.18Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
-
8.21Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
-
9.61Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
-
5.68Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
-
10.23Tufts University1.130.0%1st Place
-
9.13Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
-
7.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
-
6.49Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
-
11.31University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
-
9.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
-
13.18University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
-
15.73Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
-
15.18Maine Maritime Academy-0.770.0%1st Place
-
17.5Bates College-2.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Young | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.4% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Reimer | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 16.8% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.0% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 19.0% | 20.5% | 8.7% | 0.9% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 8.5% | 21.0% | 44.7% | 10.7% |
| Anna LaDue | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 12.9% | 28.1% | 31.0% | 7.0% |
| Emily DeLossa | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 10.1% | 81.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.