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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.91+3.66vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+2.58vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.01+4.42vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.33+2.11vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.73+3.12vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.47-0.21vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+2.39vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-0.59vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.30+0.66vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.52-0.85vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.55-5.32vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.76-0.31vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.25-3.26vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.14-1.00vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.13-4.79vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.77-0.82vs Predicted
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17Boston University-1.11-1.28vs Predicted
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18Bates College-2.94-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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4.58Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.42Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.11Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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8.12Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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5.79Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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7.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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9.66Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.15Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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5.68Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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11.69University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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9.74Bowdoin College1.250.0%1st Place
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13.0University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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10.21Tufts University1.130.0%1st Place
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15.18Maine Maritime Academy-0.770.0%1st Place
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15.72Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
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17.51Bates College-2.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 15.2% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.6% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 12.1% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 16.9% | 10.3% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Christine Reimer | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 19.7% | 18.4% | 8.6% | 1.1% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Anna LaDue | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 13.0% | 26.5% | 32.6% | 6.5% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 23.3% | 42.3% | 10.5% |
| Emily DeLossa | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 4.1% | 10.0% | 81.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.