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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.55+4.57vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.47+3.75vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+1.41vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.91+0.30vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.33+0.99vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.73+2.04vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.30+2.40vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.13+1.89vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.01-2.02vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-2.50vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.52-2.24vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.25-2.10vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.57-1.40vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.14-1.23vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49-3.03vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.77-0.94vs Predicted
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17Boston University-1.11-1.39vs Predicted
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18Bates College-2.94-0.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.57Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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5.75Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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4.41Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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4.3Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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5.99Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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8.04Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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9.4Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.89Tufts University1.130.0%1st Place
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6.98Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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8.76Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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9.9Bowdoin College1.250.0%1st Place
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11.6University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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12.77University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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11.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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15.06Maine Maritime Academy-0.770.0%1st Place
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15.61Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
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17.48Bates College-2.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Young | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 14.7% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 17.9% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christine Reimer | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 9.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 18.3% | 16.8% | 7.5% | 1.1% |
| Allison Nystrom | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 4.4% | 0.3% |
| Anna LaDue | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 14.0% | 24.7% | 31.1% | 6.6% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 21.1% | 42.0% | 10.2% |
| Emily DeLossa | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 10.0% | 81.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.