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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy4.34+5.13vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.52+3.53vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University5.19+0.75vs Predicted
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4University of Florida2.84+6.95vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.90+2.36vs Predicted
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6Brown University4.49-0.47vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston4.34-0.99vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.76-0.24vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.71-0.99vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.69-1.65vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan2.86+0.09vs Predicted
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12Tufts University4.08-4.96vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.64+1.40vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University2.15-0.99vs Predicted
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15Ohio State University0.69+1.49vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota2.25-3.01vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.32-4.15vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University1.91-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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5.53Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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3.75Georgetown University5.190.2%1st Place
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10.95University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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7.36Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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5.53Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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6.01College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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7.76Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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8.01Connecticut College3.710.0%1st Place
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8.35Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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11.09University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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7.04Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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14.4Tulane University1.640.0%1st Place
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13.01Western Washington University2.150.0%1st Place
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16.49Ohio State University0.690.0%1st Place
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12.99University of Minnesota2.250.0%1st Place
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12.85Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
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13.75Texas A&M University1.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Vann | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alan Palmer | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 19.3% | 18.2% | 17.4% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Famiglietti | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Mateo Vargas | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Fred Strammer | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Roble | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Judge Ryan | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Graham | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| William Haeger | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Schuyler Hemmerdinger | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 20.6% | 16.5% |
| Patrick Taylor | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 5.4% |
| Anthony Julian | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 9.0% | 16.1% | 55.7% |
| Matthew Thompson | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 4.6% |
| Blair Davis | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 5.3% |
| Colin Feik | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.