Race 1A

saisa-women-top-18-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Arantxa Argibay 4.8% 4.9% 7.7% 7.4% 7.3% 12.1% 14.4% 15.4% 11.4% 8.4% 4.6% 1.6%
Katie Nelson 10.1% 12.2% 14.3% 12.6% 13.9% 13.5% 10.0% 6.5% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Emily Allen 23.6% 18.6% 15.8% 17.2% 11.1% 6.2% 4.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Martina Amunarriz 2.4% 2.4% 3.6% 3.4% 5.6% 9.9% 10.0% 12.1% 15.5% 15.9% 12.3% 6.9%
Lily Schwartz 3.2% 4.0% 5.4% 5.5% 8.2% 10.3% 11.9% 12.2% 15.1% 13.2% 7.5% 3.5%
Emma Shakespeare 15.2% 15.1% 14.0% 14.9% 14.0% 10.4% 7.7% 5.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
KA Hamner 4.7% 4.9% 5.8% 8.1% 10.3% 9.7% 10.1% 15.4% 13.9% 9.8% 5.8% 1.5%
Heidi Hicks 10.9% 9.8% 11.5% 12.6% 11.9% 12.2% 12.1% 9.1% 5.8% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
Olivia Sowa 21.8% 24.5% 17.2% 12.9% 10.6% 6.1% 4.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rylie Cataldo 0.6% 1.4% 1.2% 1.7% 2.0% 3.0% 3.4% 5.1% 8.4% 14.8% 19.1% 39.3%
Zuzanna Barska 1.6% 0.9% 1.4% 1.1% 2.6% 3.5% 6.4% 5.7% 9.7% 15.5% 25.5% 26.1%
Lauren Mellinger 1.1% 1.3% 2.1% 2.6% 2.5% 3.1% 5.1% 8.9% 12.3% 17.2% 23.1% 20.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.