Race 2A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Olivia Sowa 22.2% 19.4% 19.2% 13.0% 10.4% 7.9% 3.0% 3.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Arantxa Argibay 4.8% 5.3% 6.9% 7.7% 10.2% 11.9% 11.8% 14.7% 11.1% 9.8% 4.8% 1.0%
Katie Nelson 12.7% 9.9% 13.3% 13.1% 13.7% 13.3% 11.2% 7.8% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
KA Hamner 3.9% 4.2% 5.2% 8.1% 9.5% 10.2% 14.5% 12.3% 11.7% 11.6% 7.2% 1.6%
Emma Shakespeare 14.0% 17.1% 15.9% 14.8% 11.0% 10.6% 7.3% 5.5% 2.0% 1.0% 0.8% 0.0%
Emily Allen 22.6% 22.5% 16.5% 13.8% 9.4% 8.2% 4.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Zuzanna Barska 1.7% 1.6% 1.5% 2.6% 2.2% 4.0% 4.9% 7.8% 11.1% 15.1% 20.7% 26.8%
Heidi Hicks 10.9% 10.6% 10.1% 12.3% 14.2% 11.3% 12.4% 7.7% 5.5% 3.6% 1.4% 0.0%
Lily Schwartz 2.9% 3.9% 4.8% 6.4% 9.8% 10.4% 12.3% 12.8% 15.8% 10.7% 8.2% 2.0%
Rylie Cataldo 0.5% 0.9% 1.9% 2.1% 1.8% 2.6% 2.9% 5.2% 9.2% 12.4% 21.1% 39.4%
Martina Amunarriz 2.7% 2.6% 2.9% 3.8% 5.3% 7.0% 10.2% 12.5% 16.0% 16.5% 12.2% 8.3%
Lauren Mellinger 1.1% 2.0% 1.8% 2.3% 2.5% 2.6% 5.4% 8.3% 12.5% 17.5% 23.2% 20.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.