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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College-0.17+6.32vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.65+1.26vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.24+1.03vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.65-0.73vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.14+1.53vs Predicted
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6University of Florida-1.32+3.69vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.97-2.41vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.77-2.99vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.01-2.26vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-0.50-2.06vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-1.15-1.56vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-1.62-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.32Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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3.26Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
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4.03University of South Florida1.240.2%1st Place
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3.27North Carolina State University1.650.2%1st Place
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6.53University of Miami0.140.0%1st Place
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9.69University of Florida-1.320.0%1st Place
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4.59Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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5.01University of South Florida0.770.1%1st Place
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6.74Rollins College0.010.0%1st Place
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7.94North Carolina State University-0.500.0%1st Place
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9.44Georgia Institute of Technology-1.150.0%1st Place
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10.2Embry-Riddle University-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily Schwartz | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 7.6% | 3.7% |
| Emily Allen | 21.5% | 20.6% | 19.5% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 15.9% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 22.3% | 21.3% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Zuzanna Barska | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 22.9% | 27.9% |
| Katie Nelson | 12.0% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Heidi Hicks | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| KA Hamner | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Martina Amunarriz | 2.9% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 5.9% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 17.3% | 24.0% | 20.6% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 15.1% | 20.8% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.