Race 4A

saisa-women-top-18-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Olivia Sowa 21.2% 20.0% 19.3% 14.2% 10.6% 7.9% 4.3% 1.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Emma Shakespeare 14.2% 16.2% 15.6% 14.6% 12.2% 10.8% 9.2% 4.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Arantxa Argibay 5.6% 5.9% 6.4% 8.3% 9.1% 10.6% 13.1% 15.1% 12.4% 7.9% 4.4% 1.2%
Katie Nelson 10.1% 12.9% 13.6% 12.0% 15.3% 12.0% 9.8% 7.6% 4.2% 2.2% 0.2% 0.1%
KA Hamner 4.6% 4.4% 6.0% 7.2% 8.1% 11.3% 10.7% 16.1% 12.9% 10.7% 6.1% 1.9%
Martina Amunarriz 2.6% 2.6% 3.7% 5.2% 6.0% 6.2% 9.4% 11.5% 16.7% 16.4% 14.4% 5.3%
Heidi Hicks 10.7% 9.8% 11.5% 11.9% 12.4% 14.0% 10.2% 9.7% 5.7% 2.6% 1.2% 0.3%
Emily Allen 25.0% 20.1% 15.8% 12.9% 10.3% 7.2% 5.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Lily Schwartz 2.6% 3.9% 4.3% 6.9% 7.7% 11.7% 13.6% 13.8% 15.0% 12.0% 6.9% 1.6%
Lauren Mellinger 1.1% 1.7% 2.3% 3.0% 3.7% 3.1% 5.6% 7.0% 13.4% 16.5% 22.4% 20.2%
Zuzanna Barska 1.4% 1.3% 0.9% 1.4% 2.8% 2.9% 5.6% 6.1% 9.5% 16.1% 23.7% 28.3%
Rylie Cataldo 0.9% 1.2% 0.6% 2.4% 1.8% 2.3% 3.3% 5.2% 6.8% 14.2% 20.2% 41.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.