← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University4.49+4.70vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University5.19+1.75vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.69+5.28vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University4.52+1.41vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University3.90+2.37vs Predicted
-
6University of Michigan2.86+4.95vs Predicted
-
7University of Florida2.84+3.99vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University4.08-1.24vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy4.34-3.07vs Predicted
-
10University of Minnesota2.25+3.02vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University3.76-2.98vs Predicted
-
12Western Washington University2.15+1.46vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College3.71-5.05vs Predicted
-
14Cornell University2.32-1.59vs Predicted
-
15College of Charleston4.34-9.03vs Predicted
-
16Ohio State University0.69+0.41vs Predicted
-
17Texas A&M University1.91-3.06vs Predicted
-
18Tulane University1.49-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.7Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
-
3.75Georgetown University5.190.2%1st Place
-
8.28Brown University3.690.0%1st Place
-
5.41Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
-
7.37Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
-
10.95University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
-
10.99University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
-
6.76Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
-
5.93U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
-
13.02University of Minnesota2.250.0%1st Place
-
8.02Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
-
13.46Western Washington University2.150.0%1st Place
-
7.95Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
-
12.41Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
-
5.97College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
-
16.41Ohio State University0.690.0%1st Place
-
13.94Texas A&M University1.910.0%1st Place
-
14.69Tulane University1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Strammer | 10.9% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 18.6% | 18.0% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alan Palmer | 12.3% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Vargas | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Graham | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Max Famiglietti | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| William Haeger | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Vann | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Thompson | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 11.2% | 4.4% |
| Stephanie Roble | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Taylor | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 7.2% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Blair Davis | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 8.4% | 3.8% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Julian | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 16.7% | 54.4% |
| Colin Feik | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 16.7% | 17.0% | 11.1% |
| Andrew Eyring | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 16.1% | 23.5% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.