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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.24+3.07vs Predicted
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2University of Miami0.14+4.55vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.65+0.26vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.97+0.62vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.01+1.91vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.65-2.78vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.77-1.98vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.50-0.07vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-1.15+0.35vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College-0.17-2.87vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-1.32-1.28vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-1.62-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.07University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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6.55University of Miami0.140.0%1st Place
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3.26Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
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4.62Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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6.91Rollins College0.010.0%1st Place
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3.22North Carolina State University1.650.2%1st Place
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5.02University of South Florida0.770.1%1st Place
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7.93North Carolina State University-0.500.0%1st Place
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9.35Georgia Institute of Technology-1.150.0%1st Place
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7.13Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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9.72University of Florida-1.320.0%1st Place
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10.23Embry-Riddle University-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Shakespeare | 14.0% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Emily Allen | 23.5% | 18.6% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 9.9% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| KA Hamner | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 1.8% |
| Olivia Sowa | 24.0% | 19.9% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Heidi Hicks | 10.0% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Martina Amunarriz | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 6.2% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 18.7% | 21.1% | 18.9% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
| Zuzanna Barska | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 15.9% | 23.0% | 27.7% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 20.7% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.