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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.65+2.30vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.24+2.05vs Predicted
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3University of Miami0.14+3.51vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.65-0.70vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.97-0.38vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.77-0.94vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.01-0.26vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College-0.17-0.81vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-1.15+0.32vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-0.50-2.09vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-1.32-1.22vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-1.62-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3North Carolina State University1.650.2%1st Place
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4.05University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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6.51University of Miami0.140.1%1st Place
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3.3Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
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4.62Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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5.06University of South Florida0.770.1%1st Place
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6.74Rollins College0.010.0%1st Place
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7.19Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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9.32Georgia Institute of Technology-1.150.0%1st Place
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7.91North Carolina State University-0.500.0%1st Place
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9.78University of Florida-1.320.0%1st Place
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10.22Embry-Riddle University-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 21.0% | 19.7% | 19.6% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 14.4% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Emily Allen | 22.2% | 20.5% | 17.1% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 11.7% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Heidi Hicks | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| KA Hamner | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 16.3% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 3.3% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 17.7% | 22.1% | 19.2% |
| Martina Amunarriz | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 6.0% |
| Zuzanna Barska | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 15.8% | 23.5% | 28.1% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 15.1% | 22.1% | 39.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.