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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.65+2.29vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.65+1.25vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.24+1.04vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.97+0.68vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.01+1.85vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.50+2.01vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College-0.17+0.15vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.14-1.54vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.77-4.04vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.62+0.11vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-1.32-1.26vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-1.15-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29North Carolina State University1.650.2%1st Place
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3.25Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
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4.04University of South Florida1.240.2%1st Place
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4.68Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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6.85Rollins College0.010.0%1st Place
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8.01North Carolina State University-0.500.0%1st Place
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7.15Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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6.46University of Miami0.140.1%1st Place
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4.96University of South Florida0.770.1%1st Place
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10.11Embry-Riddle University-1.620.0%1st Place
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9.74University of Florida-1.320.0%1st Place
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9.44Georgia Institute of Technology-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 21.3% | 20.6% | 18.1% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 22.5% | 21.8% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 17.4% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 9.2% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| KA Hamner | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Martina Amunarriz | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 16.7% | 17.0% | 13.5% | 5.2% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 2.5% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Heidi Hicks | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 18.8% | 40.1% |
| Zuzanna Barska | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 16.1% | 23.6% | 27.2% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 24.2% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.