Race 9A

saisa-women-top-18-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Olivia Sowa 21.2% 20.1% 18.3% 13.7% 12.1% 6.7% 4.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Arantxa Argibay 4.0% 6.7% 6.3% 9.1% 8.0% 12.5% 12.9% 14.8% 11.9% 8.5% 3.7% 1.6%
Emma Shakespeare 15.9% 14.0% 15.4% 12.8% 14.7% 11.1% 9.5% 4.2% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Katie Nelson 10.4% 11.8% 14.6% 14.9% 12.2% 12.4% 10.3% 7.5% 4.1% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Lily Schwartz 3.1% 4.3% 4.4% 6.8% 6.5% 9.5% 11.8% 14.4% 14.2% 12.2% 9.1% 3.7%
Emily Allen 23.2% 20.6% 16.0% 14.6% 10.4% 8.4% 4.1% 1.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
KA Hamner 4.9% 5.1% 5.8% 8.3% 8.7% 10.0% 12.5% 12.8% 14.9% 9.4% 5.2% 2.4%
Heidi Hicks 11.0% 10.0% 11.6% 11.4% 13.3% 13.8% 10.2% 9.0% 5.2% 3.0% 1.3% 0.2%
Rylie Cataldo 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 1.2% 1.7% 2.3% 4.2% 5.1% 8.9% 14.2% 23.1% 36.6%
Martina Amunarriz 2.5% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.6% 6.7% 9.9% 13.0% 15.3% 16.6% 12.6% 5.8%
Lauren Mellinger 1.7% 1.7% 1.1% 1.1% 3.7% 4.3% 5.5% 7.7% 11.9% 17.1% 22.4% 21.8%
Zuzanna Barska 1.3% 1.1% 1.7% 1.6% 3.1% 2.3% 4.5% 7.6% 10.6% 16.3% 22.1% 27.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.