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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.24+3.10vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.77+3.08vs Predicted
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3University of Miami0.14+3.48vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.65-0.72vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College-0.17+2.25vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.01+0.86vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.50+0.90vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.65-4.74vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.97-4.52vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology-1.15-0.72vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-1.32-1.23vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-1.62-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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5.08University of South Florida0.770.1%1st Place
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6.48University of Miami0.140.1%1st Place
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3.28North Carolina State University1.650.2%1st Place
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7.25Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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6.86Rollins College0.010.0%1st Place
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7.9North Carolina State University-0.500.0%1st Place
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3.26Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
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4.48Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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9.28Georgia Institute of Technology-1.150.0%1st Place
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9.77University of Florida-1.320.0%1st Place
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10.25Embry-Riddle University-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Shakespeare | 14.5% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Heidi Hicks | 8.2% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Olivia Sowa | 21.8% | 20.8% | 18.4% | 14.0% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 3.2% |
| KA Hamner | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 1.6% |
| Martina Amunarriz | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 6.1% |
| Emily Allen | 24.9% | 18.8% | 17.8% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 10.4% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 17.1% | 23.7% | 18.9% |
| Zuzanna Barska | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 16.2% | 22.7% | 28.5% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 21.5% | 40.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.