Race 11A

saisa-women-top-18-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Olivia Sowa 21.7% 19.9% 19.2% 14.1% 11.4% 6.2% 4.0% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Allen 22.6% 22.7% 15.7% 14.0% 9.8% 7.8% 4.1% 2.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Heidi Hicks 10.2% 9.9% 10.7% 12.1% 11.9% 14.1% 14.0% 9.2% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Arantxa Argibay 3.8% 5.1% 6.3% 9.1% 10.4% 11.0% 12.5% 13.9% 11.7% 10.0% 5.0% 1.2%
KA Hamner 4.0% 4.9% 6.3% 6.5% 10.0% 8.9% 14.0% 11.8% 14.7% 9.8% 6.9% 2.2%
Katie Nelson 11.5% 11.5% 12.8% 12.6% 14.7% 13.1% 9.6% 7.7% 4.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Emma Shakespeare 17.2% 14.8% 15.3% 14.2% 11.9% 10.1% 8.9% 4.4% 1.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
Lily Schwartz 3.4% 5.3% 5.8% 5.4% 7.4% 9.8% 11.2% 14.6% 13.6% 12.0% 7.9% 3.6%
Martina Amunarriz 2.6% 2.2% 3.5% 4.3% 5.8% 9.2% 10.2% 13.2% 16.3% 14.5% 13.6% 4.6%
Rylie Cataldo 0.5% 0.8% 1.7% 2.3% 2.3% 2.7% 2.5% 5.4% 8.8% 13.4% 20.9% 38.7%
Lauren Mellinger 1.4% 1.2% 1.5% 2.8% 2.3% 3.5% 5.7% 8.1% 11.2% 19.6% 20.7% 22.0%
Zuzanna Barska 1.1% 1.7% 1.2% 2.6% 2.1% 3.6% 3.3% 6.8% 11.1% 15.8% 23.3% 27.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.