← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida1.89+1.33vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University0.43+2.80vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University1.46+0.05vs Predicted
-
4Rollins College-0.08+2.13vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University-0.13+1.05vs Predicted
-
6University of Miami-0.94+1.80vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida0.45-2.39vs Predicted
-
8Florida State University0.21-2.79vs Predicted
-
9University of Florida-1.14-0.85vs Predicted
-
10Georgia Institute of Technology-1.23-1.82vs Predicted
-
11Eckerd College-2.15-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.33University of South Florida1.890.4%1st Place
-
4.8Jacksonville University0.430.1%1st Place
-
3.05North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
-
6.13Rollins College-0.080.0%1st Place
-
6.05North Carolina State University-0.130.1%1st Place
-
7.8University of Miami-0.940.0%1st Place
-
4.61University of South Florida0.450.1%1st Place
-
5.21Florida State University0.210.1%1st Place
-
8.15University of Florida-1.140.0%1st Place
-
8.18Georgia Institute of Technology-1.230.0%1st Place
-
9.69Eckerd College-2.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 36.4% | 26.4% | 17.6% | 11.1% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Bilow | 8.9% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 21.8% | 23.1% | 19.8% | 14.8% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
| Maddison Carew | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 1.4% |
| Daniella Woodbridge | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 18.0% | 20.3% | 10.8% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 10.2% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Niah Ford | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Maddie Washburn | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 18.7% | 21.5% | 15.4% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 23.0% | 16.1% |
| Sophie Leduc | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 16.9% | 53.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.