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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.89+1.35vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.43+2.83vs Predicted
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3Rollins College-0.08+3.04vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.13+2.19vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.46-2.06vs Predicted
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6University of Miami-0.94+1.82vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.45-2.36vs Predicted
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8University of Florida-1.14-0.02vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-1.23-0.66vs Predicted
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10Florida State University0.21-4.78vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-2.15-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35University of South Florida1.890.3%1st Place
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4.83Jacksonville University0.430.1%1st Place
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6.04Rollins College-0.080.1%1st Place
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6.19North Carolina State University-0.130.0%1st Place
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2.94North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
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7.82University of Miami-0.940.0%1st Place
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4.64University of South Florida0.450.1%1st Place
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7.98University of Florida-1.140.0%1st Place
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8.34Georgia Institute of Technology-1.230.0%1st Place
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5.22Florida State University0.210.1%1st Place
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9.66Eckerd College-2.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 34.9% | 27.4% | 18.1% | 11.4% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Bilow | 8.1% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 0.8% |
| Maddison Carew | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 24.7% | 23.0% | 20.6% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniella Woodbridge | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 20.8% | 11.0% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 9.7% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Maddie Washburn | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 18.0% | 19.8% | 14.2% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 24.3% | 18.0% |
| Niah Ford | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Sophie Leduc | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 16.8% | 53.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.