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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.89+1.35vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.46+0.93vs Predicted
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3Rollins College-0.08+3.08vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.13+2.22vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.21+0.26vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-1.23+2.32vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.43-2.32vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College-2.15+1.68vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.45-4.16vs Predicted
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10University of Florida-1.14-1.98vs Predicted
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11University of Miami-0.94-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35University of South Florida1.890.4%1st Place
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2.93North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
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6.08Rollins College-0.080.1%1st Place
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6.22North Carolina State University-0.130.0%1st Place
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5.26Florida State University0.210.1%1st Place
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8.32Georgia Institute of Technology-1.230.0%1st Place
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4.68Jacksonville University0.430.1%1st Place
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9.68Eckerd College-2.150.0%1st Place
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4.84University of South Florida0.450.1%1st Place
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8.02University of Florida-1.140.0%1st Place
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7.62University of Miami-0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 35.4% | 26.0% | 18.5% | 12.4% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 24.8% | 24.7% | 18.3% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| Maddison Carew | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 2.4% |
| Niah Ford | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 17.4% | 23.2% | 18.3% |
| Ella Bilow | 8.9% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Leduc | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 52.7% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 8.6% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Maddie Washburn | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 16.4% | 21.4% | 15.1% |
| Daniella Woodbridge | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 19.5% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.