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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.06+3.23vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.40+1.71vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.72+2.00vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+1.16vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.11-0.96vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.16-0.93vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.00-3.64vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University1.71-2.00vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.50-5.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.23Salve Regina University3.060.2%1st Place
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3.71Brown University3.400.2%1st Place
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5.0Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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5.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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4.04University of Vermont3.110.2%1st Place
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6.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.160.1%1st Place
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4.36Yale University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.0Wesleyan University1.710.0%1st Place
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5.42Bowdoin College2.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Decesar | 15.3% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 3.6% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 16.6% | 19.7% | 16.5% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Peter Hughes | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 7.2% |
| William Cotta | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.0% |
| Quentin Chafee | 16.9% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| Michael Reney | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 20.3% | 17.8% |
| Michael Hession | 13.4% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 3.7% |
| Dylan Griffin | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 40.5% |
| Viktor Bolmgren | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.