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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University4.49+4.75vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University5.19+1.75vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy4.34+3.08vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.90+3.32vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.34+0.97vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.69+2.06vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota2.25+5.85vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.71+0.01vs Predicted
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9Tufts University4.08-2.28vs Predicted
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10University of Florida2.84+1.23vs Predicted
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11Harvard University4.52-5.43vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University2.15+1.43vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.76-5.24vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan2.86-3.28vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.49-0.14vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.32-3.24vs Predicted
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17Ohio State University0.69-0.51vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University1.91-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.75Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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3.75Georgetown University5.190.2%1st Place
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6.08U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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7.32Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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5.97College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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8.06Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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12.85University of Minnesota2.250.0%1st Place
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8.01Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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6.72Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.23University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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5.57Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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13.43Western Washington University2.150.0%1st Place
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7.76Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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10.72University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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14.86Tulane University1.490.0%1st Place
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12.76Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
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16.49Ohio State University0.690.0%1st Place
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13.67Texas A&M University1.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Strammer | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 18.8% | 19.9% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Vann | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Vargas | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 5.8% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Thompson | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 4.4% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Haeger | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Famiglietti | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Alan Palmer | 11.9% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Taylor | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 6.5% |
| Stephanie Roble | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Graham | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Eyring | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 23.7% | 18.4% |
| Blair Davis | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 3.9% |
| Anthony Julian | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 56.7% |
| Colin Feik | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 16.4% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.