Race 4B

saisa-women-top-18-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Eden Nykamp 35.7% 26.7% 19.1% 9.9% 6.3% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Isabella du Plessis 24.3% 24.6% 17.5% 15.7% 8.2% 6.3% 2.2% 1.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Maddison Carew 5.0% 5.0% 7.9% 8.5% 11.2% 11.5% 16.3% 13.8% 11.2% 8.0% 1.6%
Marina Dreyfuss 7.7% 8.9% 13.2% 14.7% 15.2% 13.5% 11.7% 8.8% 3.9% 2.1% 0.3%
Ella Bilow 8.4% 10.6% 13.2% 14.0% 14.3% 13.7% 11.9% 6.7% 5.3% 1.5% 0.4%
Niah Ford 6.5% 8.0% 10.7% 13.1% 13.9% 14.6% 11.2% 10.8% 7.1% 3.7% 0.4%
Kaitlyn Bagnoni 1.6% 3.5% 2.9% 3.2% 4.8% 6.7% 9.5% 11.6% 17.4% 21.9% 16.9%
Maddie Washburn 2.3% 1.9% 2.8% 3.5% 6.8% 7.9% 8.3% 13.9% 15.4% 22.1% 15.1%
Daniella Woodbridge 2.5% 3.2% 3.7% 3.8% 5.8% 7.4% 10.4% 14.3% 19.7% 17.6% 11.6%
Julia Scott 5.4% 7.0% 7.4% 12.5% 10.7% 14.4% 13.8% 12.6% 9.9% 5.3% 1.0%
Sophie Leduc 0.6% 0.6% 1.6% 1.1% 2.8% 2.8% 4.0% 6.1% 10.0% 17.7% 52.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.