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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.89+1.36vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.46+0.91vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.13+3.21vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.43+0.99vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.21+0.26vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-1.23+2.35vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.45-2.34vs Predicted
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8University of Miami-0.94-0.39vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.08-3.01vs Predicted
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10University of Florida-1.14-1.96vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-2.15-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36University of South Florida1.890.3%1st Place
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2.91North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
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6.21North Carolina State University-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.99Jacksonville University0.430.1%1st Place
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5.26Florida State University0.210.1%1st Place
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8.35Georgia Institute of Technology-1.230.0%1st Place
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4.66University of South Florida0.450.1%1st Place
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7.61University of Miami-0.940.0%1st Place
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5.99Rollins College-0.080.0%1st Place
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8.04University of Florida-1.140.0%1st Place
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9.64Eckerd College-2.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 35.0% | 27.2% | 17.9% | 11.0% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 24.5% | 25.2% | 18.1% | 13.6% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddison Carew | 5.1% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 6.6% | 1.5% |
| Ella Bilow | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Niah Ford | 6.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 16.3% | 23.6% | 18.8% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 9.7% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Daniella Woodbridge | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 19.0% | 9.1% |
| Julia Scott | 4.8% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Maddie Washburn | 1.6% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 18.1% | 20.7% | 14.9% |
| Sophie Leduc | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 17.2% | 52.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.