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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.89+1.33vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.13+4.03vs Predicted
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3Rollins College-0.08+3.13vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.46-0.96vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.21+0.23vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-1.23+2.36vs Predicted
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7University of Florida-1.14+1.00vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.45-3.32vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.43-4.05vs Predicted
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10University of Miami-0.94-2.39vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-2.15-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33University of South Florida1.890.4%1st Place
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6.03North Carolina State University-0.130.1%1st Place
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6.13Rollins College-0.080.1%1st Place
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3.04North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
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5.23Florida State University0.210.1%1st Place
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8.36Georgia Institute of Technology-1.230.0%1st Place
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8.0University of Florida-1.140.0%1st Place
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4.68University of South Florida0.450.1%1st Place
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4.95Jacksonville University0.430.1%1st Place
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7.61University of Miami-0.940.0%1st Place
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9.65Eckerd College-2.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 37.4% | 24.2% | 20.1% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maddison Carew | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 5.8% | 1.4% |
| Julia Scott | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 1.5% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 21.6% | 23.9% | 19.6% | 15.7% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Niah Ford | 7.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 17.7% | 23.9% | 18.5% |
| Maddie Washburn | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 21.6% | 14.3% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 9.0% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ella Bilow | 7.7% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Daniella Woodbridge | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 17.2% | 18.0% | 9.3% |
| Sophie Leduc | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 17.7% | 53.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.