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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.46+1.94vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.89+0.30vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.45+1.96vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.13+2.16vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.43-0.17vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-1.23+2.36vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.21-1.83vs Predicted
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8University of Florida-1.14-0.02vs Predicted
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9University of Miami-0.94-1.20vs Predicted
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10Rollins College-0.08-4.18vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-2.15-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
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2.3University of South Florida1.890.4%1st Place
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4.96University of South Florida0.450.1%1st Place
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6.16North Carolina State University-0.130.0%1st Place
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4.83Jacksonville University0.430.1%1st Place
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8.36Georgia Institute of Technology-1.230.0%1st Place
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5.17Florida State University0.210.1%1st Place
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7.98University of Florida-1.140.0%1st Place
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7.8University of Miami-0.940.0%1st Place
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5.82Rollins College-0.080.1%1st Place
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9.67Eckerd College-2.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 22.8% | 23.4% | 22.0% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 37.6% | 26.0% | 17.3% | 11.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Maddison Carew | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 5.6% | 1.7% |
| Ella Bilow | 7.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 13.3% | 16.3% | 24.7% | 17.8% |
| Niah Ford | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Maddie Washburn | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 17.0% | 20.8% | 14.0% |
| Daniella Woodbridge | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 15.0% | 18.7% | 19.4% | 11.1% |
| Julia Scott | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Sophie Leduc | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 17.0% | 53.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.