← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.46+1.97vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University-0.13+4.01vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida1.89-0.66vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University0.43+1.00vs Predicted
-
5Georgia Institute of Technology-1.23+3.26vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida0.45-1.17vs Predicted
-
7Florida State University0.21-1.86vs Predicted
-
8University of Miami-0.94-0.29vs Predicted
-
9Rollins College-0.08-3.00vs Predicted
-
10Eckerd College-2.15-0.30vs Predicted
-
11University of Florida-1.14-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.97North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
-
6.01North Carolina State University-0.130.1%1st Place
-
2.34University of South Florida1.890.4%1st Place
-
5.0Jacksonville University0.430.1%1st Place
-
8.26Georgia Institute of Technology-1.230.0%1st Place
-
4.83University of South Florida0.450.1%1st Place
-
5.14Florida State University0.210.1%1st Place
-
7.71University of Miami-0.940.0%1st Place
-
6.0Rollins College-0.080.1%1st Place
-
9.7Eckerd College-2.150.0%1st Place
-
8.03University of Florida-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 22.7% | 24.4% | 19.1% | 14.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddison Carew | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Eden Nykamp | 35.7% | 27.3% | 17.2% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Bilow | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 23.6% | 17.7% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Niah Ford | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Daniella Woodbridge | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 18.6% | 11.2% |
| Julia Scott | 5.1% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 6.3% | 1.7% |
| Sophie Leduc | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 11.3% | 18.1% | 52.7% |
| Maddie Washburn | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 18.1% | 21.5% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.