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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.89+1.50vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.43+3.14vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.45+2.26vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.13+2.58vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.21+0.62vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.52-1.02vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.46-3.98vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.08-1.82vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-1.23-0.41vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College-2.15-0.13vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-1.14-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5University of South Florida1.890.3%1st Place
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5.14Jacksonville University0.430.1%1st Place
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5.26University of South Florida0.450.1%1st Place
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6.58North Carolina State University-0.130.0%1st Place
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5.62Florida State University0.210.1%1st Place
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4.98University of Miami0.520.1%1st Place
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3.02North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
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6.18Rollins College-0.080.1%1st Place
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8.59Georgia Institute of Technology-1.230.0%1st Place
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9.87Eckerd College-2.150.0%1st Place
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8.26University of Florida-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 32.9% | 24.7% | 18.7% | 13.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Bilow | 7.8% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Maddison Carew | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 2.8% |
| Niah Ford | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Briana Hummel | 7.9% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 24.5% | 23.7% | 18.5% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 7.4% | 1.4% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 17.6% | 28.6% | 19.7% |
| Sophie Leduc | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 17.5% | 58.1% |
| Maddie Washburn | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 18.3% | 25.6% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.