Race 11B

saisa-women-top-18-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Eden Nykamp 33.5% 24.9% 19.5% 11.7% 5.6% 3.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Maddison Carew 4.9% 4.9% 7.6% 8.3% 8.5% 12.0% 13.9% 14.1% 15.5% 8.0% 2.3%
Isabella du Plessis 19.7% 23.1% 17.8% 15.2% 11.2% 6.3% 5.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Briana Hummel 8.0% 9.3% 11.3% 11.9% 15.7% 13.2% 12.5% 10.5% 4.5% 2.7% 0.4%
Marina Dreyfuss 9.0% 8.9% 11.0% 13.3% 13.4% 12.1% 12.1% 10.3% 6.2% 3.5% 0.2%
Ella Bilow 8.1% 10.0% 9.8% 13.2% 14.0% 12.7% 11.7% 9.4% 7.5% 3.0% 0.6%
Niah Ford 7.2% 8.7% 9.7% 11.2% 12.1% 13.2% 12.2% 12.5% 8.3% 3.6% 1.3%
Kaitlyn Bagnoni 1.9% 1.3% 1.8% 3.0% 4.0% 5.7% 8.3% 12.7% 15.9% 25.6% 19.8%
Maddie Washburn 1.8% 2.1% 3.3% 2.7% 3.2% 6.0% 6.8% 10.0% 19.4% 27.1% 17.6%
Julia Scott 5.4% 6.2% 7.2% 8.4% 10.6% 13.4% 13.1% 13.1% 13.6% 7.6% 1.4%
Sophie Leduc 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 1.7% 2.4% 3.2% 6.0% 8.4% 18.7% 56.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.