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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.62+5.14vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.24+0.57vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.36+1.29vs Predicted
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4Amherst College-0.09+4.37vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.63-1.20vs Predicted
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6Bates College-1.38+6.06vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.96-1.73vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-0.12+0.51vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.13-0.58vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.26-1.04vs Predicted
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11Williams College-1.22+0.65vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-0.20-3.01vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11-1.46vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.43-4.62vs Predicted
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15McGill University-0.67-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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2.57University of Rhode Island2.240.3%1st Place
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4.29Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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8.37Amherst College-0.090.0%1st Place
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3.8Roger Williams University1.630.2%1st Place
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12.06Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
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5.27Connecticut College0.960.1%1st Place
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8.51Fairfield University-0.120.0%1st Place
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8.42University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
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8.96University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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11.65Williams College-1.220.0%1st Place
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8.99Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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11.54University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.0%1st Place
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9.38University of Vermont-0.430.0%1st Place
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10.04McGill University-0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Declan Botwinick | 34.8% | 24.8% | 16.0% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 12.6% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nat Edmonds | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| William Bailey | 16.8% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gray Dinsel | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 18.9% | 28.8% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jane Matthews | 3.3% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Sean Lund | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Ted Richardsson | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.6% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 17.7% | 23.7% |
| Sean Morrison | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 2.3% |
| Cole Perra | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 21.1% |
| Will Kelleher | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% |
| Marguerite Deseau | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.