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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.36+3.43vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.24+0.73vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.63+0.85vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.62+2.72vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.26+4.46vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.96-0.37vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-0.12+2.02vs Predicted
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8Bates College-1.38+4.74vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.67+1.68vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-0.15-0.88vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University-0.20-1.73vs Predicted
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12Williams College-1.22+0.43vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.13-4.05vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.43-4.14vs Predicted
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15Amherst College-0.09-6.06vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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2.73University of Rhode Island2.240.3%1st Place
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3.85Roger Williams University1.630.2%1st Place
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6.72Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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9.46University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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5.63Connecticut College0.960.1%1st Place
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9.02Fairfield University-0.120.0%1st Place
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12.74Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
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10.68McGill University-0.670.0%1st Place
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9.12University of Connecticut-0.150.0%1st Place
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9.27Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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12.43Williams College-1.220.0%1st Place
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8.95University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
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9.86University of Vermont-0.430.0%1st Place
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8.94Amherst College-0.090.0%1st Place
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12.17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Selian | 14.7% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 32.0% | 23.5% | 16.3% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 16.9% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Ted Richardsson | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 8.0% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jane Matthews | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Gray Dinsel | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 19.4% | 27.5% |
| Marguerite Deseau | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% |
| Nielsen Gordon | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Sean Morrison | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 16.5% | 24.7% |
| Sean Lund | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Will Kelleher | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% |
| Nat Edmonds | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Cole Perra | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 16.5% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.