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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.13+3.63vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.34+4.84vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.56+0.60vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.90+1.33vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.31-0.66vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.50+3.70vs Predicted
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7Amherst College0.36-0.14vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-0.62+2.03vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.70-3.20vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.82+0.60vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.85-0.30vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-0.82-1.11vs Predicted
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13McGill University-0.18-4.14vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-1.36-2.03vs Predicted
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15Williams College-0.60-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63University of Vermont1.130.2%1st Place
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6.84Boston University0.340.1%1st Place
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3.6Roger Williams University1.560.2%1st Place
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5.33University of Rhode Island0.900.1%1st Place
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4.34Salve Regina University1.310.2%1st Place
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9.7Bates College-0.500.0%1st Place
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6.86Amherst College0.360.1%1st Place
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10.03Fairfield University-0.620.0%1st Place
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5.8Connecticut College0.700.1%1st Place
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10.6University of New Hampshire-0.820.0%1st Place
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10.7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.850.0%1st Place
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10.89Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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8.86McGill University-0.180.0%1st Place
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11.97University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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9.87Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Smith | 15.2% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Renato Korzinek | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Ethan Burt | 21.9% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Purcell | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 15.2% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Nash | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 6.1% |
| Madison Suh | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Michael Cunniff | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 9.0% |
| Andrew Powers | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Henry Poynter | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 12.9% |
| Keira Fowler | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 14.4% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 14.4% |
| Juan Carrau Carrero | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
| Devyn Weed | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 30.3% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.