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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.34+5.84vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.31+2.20vs Predicted
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3McGill University-0.18+5.52vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University-0.62+5.97vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.70+0.96vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.13-1.30vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.90-1.69vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.56-4.35vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.82+1.60vs Predicted
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10Amherst College0.36-2.98vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.82-0.37vs Predicted
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12Bates College-0.50-2.10vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.85-2.15vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-1.36-2.02vs Predicted
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15Williams College-0.60-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.84Boston University0.340.1%1st Place
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4.2Salve Regina University1.310.2%1st Place
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8.52McGill University-0.180.0%1st Place
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9.97Fairfield University-0.620.0%1st Place
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5.96Connecticut College0.700.1%1st Place
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4.7University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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5.31University of Rhode Island0.900.1%1st Place
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3.65Roger Williams University1.560.2%1st Place
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10.6Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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7.02Amherst College0.360.1%1st Place
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10.63University of New Hampshire-0.820.0%1st Place
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9.9Bates College-0.500.0%1st Place
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10.85University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.850.0%1st Place
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11.98University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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9.87Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renato Korzinek | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 16.6% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carrau Carrero | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Michael Cunniff | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 8.7% |
| Andrew Powers | 8.6% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Cooper Smith | 12.0% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Purcell | 11.3% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Burt | 23.1% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 11.3% |
| Madison Suh | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Henry Poynter | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 14.4% |
| Harrison Nash | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.9% |
| Keira Fowler | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 14.8% |
| Devyn Weed | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 16.9% | 30.1% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.