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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.56+2.67vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.13+2.63vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.90+2.36vs Predicted
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4Amherst College0.36+3.01vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.50+4.72vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.31-1.74vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.34+0.06vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.18+0.84vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-0.62+1.07vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39-0.49vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University-0.82-0.26vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.70-5.82vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.36-0.71vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.82-3.33vs Predicted
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15Williams College-0.60-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67Roger Williams University1.560.2%1st Place
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4.63University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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5.36University of Rhode Island0.900.1%1st Place
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7.01Amherst College0.360.1%1st Place
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9.72Bates College-0.500.0%1st Place
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4.26Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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7.06Boston University0.340.1%1st Place
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8.84McGill University-0.180.0%1st Place
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10.07Fairfield University-0.620.0%1st Place
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9.51University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.0%1st Place
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10.74Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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6.18Connecticut College0.700.1%1st Place
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12.29University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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10.67University of New Hampshire-0.820.0%1st Place
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10.0Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Burt | 23.1% | 18.3% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Smith | 12.9% | 16.7% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Purcell | 11.4% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Madison Suh | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Harrison Nash | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 7.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 14.8% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Renato Korzinek | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Juan Carrau Carrero | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Michael Cunniff | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 8.1% |
| Marshall Rodes | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 17.0% |
| Andrew Powers | 8.0% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Devyn Weed | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 17.3% | 35.1% |
| Henry Poynter | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 12.3% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.