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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Amherst College0.36+6.19vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.50+8.10vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.56+0.82vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.13+1.04vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-0.62+5.76vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.31-1.53vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.34+0.40vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+1.73vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-0.62+1.58vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.18-0.75vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.70-4.85vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-0.82-0.75vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.90-7.46vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-1.36-1.27vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.82-3.63vs Predicted
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16Williams College-0.60-5.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.19Amherst College0.360.1%1st Place
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10.1Bates College-0.500.0%1st Place
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3.82Roger Williams University1.560.2%1st Place
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5.04University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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10.76University of Connecticut-0.620.0%1st Place
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4.47Salve Regina University1.310.2%1st Place
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7.4Boston University0.340.1%1st Place
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9.73University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.0%1st Place
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10.58Fairfield University-0.620.0%1st Place
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9.25McGill University-0.180.0%1st Place
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6.15Connecticut College0.700.1%1st Place
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11.25Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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5.54University of Rhode Island0.900.1%1st Place
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12.73University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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11.37University of New Hampshire-0.820.0%1st Place
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10.63Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Suh | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Harrison Nash | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 6.4% |
| Ethan Burt | 19.7% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Smith | 12.2% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Treat | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 8.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 15.1% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Renato Korzinek | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Marshall Rodes | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% |
| Michael Cunniff | 2.2% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% |
| Juan Carrau Carrero | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Andrew Powers | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 14.4% |
| Anthony Purcell | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Devyn Weed | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 30.5% |
| Henry Poynter | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 13.1% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.