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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.64+6.99vs Predicted
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2Cornell University3.27+7.32vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University4.01+3.72vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.78+3.20vs Predicted
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5Stanford University4.05+1.31vs Predicted
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6Harvard University4.170.00vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.74-2.72vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.98-1.46vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy4.09-2.81vs Predicted
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10Tulane University1.42+4.86vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan3.02-0.91vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota1.75+2.20vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.70-5.53vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles2.63-2.97vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University2.02-1.84vs Predicted
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16University of Florida3.41-7.33vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University1.27-1.87vs Predicted
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18Ohio State University0.81-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.99College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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9.32Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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6.72Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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7.2Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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6.31Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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6.0Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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4.28Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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6.54Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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6.19U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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14.86Tulane University1.420.0%1st Place
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10.09University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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14.2University of Minnesota1.750.0%1st Place
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7.47Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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11.03University of California at Los Angeles2.630.0%1st Place
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13.16Western Washington University2.020.0%1st Place
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8.67University of Florida3.410.0%1st Place
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15.13Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
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15.87Ohio State University0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Mace | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Philip Alley | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 9.3% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Stokes | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 17.5% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Smith | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Hayes | 8.0% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Krause | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 21.5% | 19.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Allison Prange | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 18.4% | 15.7% | 12.3% |
| Massimo Soriano | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Bryan Rust | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 10.8% | 5.2% |
| William Heausler | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Robert Long | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 16.1% | 22.7% | 23.5% |
| Sydney Rush | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 22.0% | 38.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.