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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.42+5.30vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.53+7.74vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+6.05vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+4.96vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.47+0.90vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.30+4.35vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.81+1.32vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.00-0.48vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+5.51vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.12+1.25vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-2.33vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.43+1.78vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.54-7.41vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.05-3.00vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.23-8.28vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.08-1.37vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.69-4.22vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.43-12.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.74Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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9.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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8.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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5.9Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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10.35Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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8.32Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.52Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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14.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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11.25Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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8.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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13.78Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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5.59Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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11.0Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.72University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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14.63University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
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12.78Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.91Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Egeli | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 20.5% | 25.9% |
| Will Priebe | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 3.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 17.2% | 19.6% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.7% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Eastman | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 3.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 30.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 10.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.2% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.