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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.42+5.35vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.47+4.08vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.53+6.75vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+4.75vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.00+2.64vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.54-0.30vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.43-0.98vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.81+0.31vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+0.06vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.30+0.67vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-2.27vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.05-0.26vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.23-6.32vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.12-3.24vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.69-2.34vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.43-2.31vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.32-2.98vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.08Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.75Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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8.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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7.64Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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5.7Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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6.02Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.31Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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10.67Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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8.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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11.74Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.68University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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10.76Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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12.66Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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13.69Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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14.02University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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14.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.8% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.5% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| John Eastman | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 6.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 10.6% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 16.5% | 18.8% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 16.8% | 23.7% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 16.5% | 27.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.