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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.42+5.32vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.54+3.84vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.00+4.92vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.43+2.01vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.53+4.38vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+2.62vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.12+4.13vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.30+2.30vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.81-0.61vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+4.69vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.47-4.95vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-2.80vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.05-1.73vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.23-7.46vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.32-1.10vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-6.84vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.43-3.29vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.69-5.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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5.84Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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7.92Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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6.01Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.38Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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8.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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11.13Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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10.3Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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8.39Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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14.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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6.05Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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11.27Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.54University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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13.9University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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13.71Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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12.57Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Will Priebe | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 4.9% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 16.5% | 32.3% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| John Eastman | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 22.3% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 12.9% | 18.2% | 18.3% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.