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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+7.77vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+7.32vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.81+5.52vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.54+1.64vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.12+5.86vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.00+1.65vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.23-0.26vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.42-2.01vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.53+0.41vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.43-3.78vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.30-0.49vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.08+2.78vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-4.33vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.47-8.22vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.05-3.72vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-1.38vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.37-3.23vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.69-5.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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9.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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8.52Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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5.64Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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10.86Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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7.65Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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6.74University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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5.99Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.41Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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6.22Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.51Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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14.78University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
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8.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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5.78Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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11.28Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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14.62Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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13.77Connecticut College1.370.0%1st Place
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12.46Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.0% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Will Priebe | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.0% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.6% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 20.4% | 29.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Eastman | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 18.2% | 28.8% |
| Matias Martin | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 18.6% | 17.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.