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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+8.09vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+6.76vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.53+6.74vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.43+1.96vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.30+5.35vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.54-0.28vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.05+4.37vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.42-1.96vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.00-1.41vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.47-3.90vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.69+1.82vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.81-3.27vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.23-6.31vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-5.13vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.12-3.96vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.43-2.35vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.32-2.93vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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8.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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9.74Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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5.96Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.35Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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5.72Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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11.37Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.04Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.59Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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6.1Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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12.82Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.73Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.69University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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11.04Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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13.65Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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14.07University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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14.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.5% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Eastman | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.6% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 12.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Will Priebe | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.6% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 18.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 17.1% | 23.9% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 17.7% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.