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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.42+5.29vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.43+4.15vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.54+2.77vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.00+3.55vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.81+3.33vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.53+3.55vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+1.58vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.69+4.55vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.05+2.35vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.23-2.96vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-2.03vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-2.59vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+1.34vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.30-3.89vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.12-4.00vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.47-10.08vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.08-2.30vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College1.43-4.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.29Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.15Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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5.77Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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7.55Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.33Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.55Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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12.55Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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11.35Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.04University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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9.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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14.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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10.11Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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11.0Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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5.92Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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14.7University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
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13.38Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 9.8% |
| John Eastman | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 3.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 28.2% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Will Priebe | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 18.2% | 31.6% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.