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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.74+3.46vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.78+5.56vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.70+4.77vs Predicted
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4Stanford University4.05+2.31vs Predicted
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5Harvard University4.17+0.91vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.64+1.79vs Predicted
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7University of Florida3.41+1.57vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University4.01-1.54vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy4.09-2.85vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles2.63+1.49vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan3.02-0.88vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.42+2.99vs Predicted
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13Cornell University3.27-4.00vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University2.02-1.08vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota1.75-1.11vs Predicted
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16Ohio State University0.81+0.01vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University1.27-1.89vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.98-11.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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7.56Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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7.77Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.31Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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5.91Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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7.79College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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8.57University of Florida3.410.0%1st Place
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6.46Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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6.15U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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11.49University of California at Los Angeles2.630.0%1st Place
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10.12University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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14.99Tulane University1.420.0%1st Place
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9.0Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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12.92Western Washington University2.020.0%1st Place
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13.89University of Minnesota1.750.0%1st Place
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16.01Ohio State University0.810.0%1st Place
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15.11Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
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6.51Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnard | 16.4% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Stokes | 10.7% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Dillon Paiva | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clark Hayes | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Philip Krause | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 23.3% | 19.1% |
| Philip Alley | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Rust | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 10.9% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 5.4% |
| Allison Prange | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 18.5% | 14.3% | 9.8% |
| Sydney Rush | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 12.9% | 20.5% | 41.5% |
| Robert Long | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 16.7% | 23.4% | 22.3% |
| Colin Smith | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.