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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas0.88+0.73vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago-0.08+0.58vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota-0.33-0.20vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-2.06+0.73vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-1.85-0.52vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-1.96-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.73University of Saint Thomas0.8850.5%1st Place
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2.58University of Chicago-0.0821.2%1st Place
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2.8University of Minnesota-0.3318.4%1st Place
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4.73Marquette University-2.063.2%1st Place
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4.48Northwestern University-1.853.3%1st Place
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4.67Marquette University-1.963.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Bittle | 50.5% | 30.6% | 14.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Holden Higgins | 21.2% | 28.0% | 28.7% | 16.2% | 5.1% | 0.7% |
| Hayden Johansen | 18.4% | 23.1% | 29.6% | 19.6% | 7.6% | 1.8% |
| Stella Brown | 3.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 19.6% | 27.9% | 36.6% |
| Sean Bascoe | 3.3% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 23.2% | 28.8% | 26.9% |
| Gwen Busch | 3.4% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 18.3% | 29.6% | 34.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.