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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+8.09vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.43+4.22vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.53+6.76vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.54+1.67vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.30+5.33vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.42+0.08vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.12+4.07vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.00-0.46vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.47-3.12vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.69+2.85vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-1.74vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.05-0.28vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.32+0.74vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-5.65vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.23-8.28vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.81-7.51vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.37-3.14vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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6.22Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.76Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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5.67Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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10.33Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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6.08Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.07Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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7.54Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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5.88Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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12.85Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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11.72Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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13.74University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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8.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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6.72University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.49Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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13.86Connecticut College1.370.0%1st Place
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14.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.1% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.0% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 12.2% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| John Eastman | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 5.8% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 21.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Matias Martin | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 17.1% | 21.8% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 17.2% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.