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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.54+4.93vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+6.83vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.23+3.99vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.30+6.31vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.42+1.10vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+2.94vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.81+1.40vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.47-2.14vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.00-1.40vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.43-3.75vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.32+2.97vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.69+1.06vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.12-2.02vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.05-2.89vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-0.46vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.50-2.51vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-7.68vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.53-8.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.93Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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6.99University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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10.31Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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6.1Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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8.4Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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5.86Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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7.6Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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6.25Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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13.97University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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13.06Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.98Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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11.11Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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14.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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13.49Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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9.34Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.9% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.5% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 18.3% | 22.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 14.0% |
| Will Priebe | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 4.6% |
| John Eastman | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% |
| Tyler Egeli | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 17.5% | 28.8% |
| Henry Scholz | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 17.8% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.