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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.38+8.03vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.40+3.28vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+9.58vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.10+2.08vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.64-0.56vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+2.48vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.77+0.29vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.72-0.60vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.07+0.93vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.07-3.61vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-1.85vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.66-0.12vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.37-0.49vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.60-2.47vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+0.79vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.49-7.52vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.27-3.87vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College1.59-6.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.03Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
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5.28Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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12.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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6.08Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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4.44Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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8.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.0%1st Place
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7.29Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.4Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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9.93University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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6.39Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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11.88Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
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12.51Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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11.53Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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15.79Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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8.48Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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13.13University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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11.64Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathieu Dale | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 10.7% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 8.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.7% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 18.7% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Miles Williams | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 5.3% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 9.2% |
| Porter Bell | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 5.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 50.3% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 11.9% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.