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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.72+6.57vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.49+6.45vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+9.34vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.07+5.69vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.40+0.12vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.64-1.62vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.07-0.85vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.38+0.56vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-0.20vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.60+1.84vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.37+1.49vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.77-4.51vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.66-1.78vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-5.85vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.27-2.29vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-0.34vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.73-2.53vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.10-12.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.57Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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8.45Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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12.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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9.69University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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5.12Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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4.38Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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6.15Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.56Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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11.84Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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12.49Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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7.49Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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11.22Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
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8.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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12.71University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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15.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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14.47Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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5.91Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Satterberg | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 4.3% |
| Miles Williams | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 14.5% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.6% | 16.5% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Maks Groom | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Porter Bell | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 4.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 7.3% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 8.6% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 17.1% | 44.5% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 24.4% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.2% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.