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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.70+6.82vs Predicted
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2Stanford University4.05+4.55vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.78+4.42vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.74+0.30vs Predicted
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5University of Florida3.41+3.49vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.98+0.62vs Predicted
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7Harvard University4.17-1.08vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.64-0.30vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy4.09-2.83vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles2.63+1.42vs Predicted
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11Cornell University3.27-1.74vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University2.02+1.40vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University4.01-6.63vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.42+0.55vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University1.27+0.09vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota1.75-1.99vs Predicted
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17Ohio State University0.81-0.93vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan3.02-8.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.82Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.55Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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7.42Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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4.3Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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8.49University of Florida3.410.0%1st Place
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6.62Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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5.92Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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7.7College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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6.17U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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11.42University of California at Los Angeles2.630.0%1st Place
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9.26Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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13.4Western Washington University2.020.0%1st Place
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6.37Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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14.55Tulane University1.420.0%1st Place
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15.09Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
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14.01University of Minnesota1.750.0%1st Place
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16.07Ohio State University0.810.0%1st Place
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9.83University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Massimo Soriano | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 19.1% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Colin Smith | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Stokes | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clark Hayes | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Philip Alley | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Bryan Rust | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 5.6% |
| Dillon Paiva | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Krause | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 17.9% | 18.8% | 16.9% |
| Robert Long | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 16.3% | 22.5% | 21.7% |
| Allison Prange | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 11.1% |
| Sydney Rush | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 20.3% | 43.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.