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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota-0.33+1.79vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas0.88-0.31vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago-0.08-0.46vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-1.96+0.66vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-1.85-0.45vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-2.06-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79University of Minnesota-0.3316.7%1st Place
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1.69University of Saint Thomas0.8853.7%1st Place
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2.54University of Chicago-0.0820.3%1st Place
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4.66Marquette University-1.962.9%1st Place
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4.55Northwestern University-1.853.5%1st Place
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4.77Marquette University-2.062.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hayden Johansen | 16.7% | 25.4% | 30.0% | 19.7% | 6.7% | 1.5% |
Greg Bittle | 53.7% | 28.5% | 13.5% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Holden Higgins | 20.3% | 30.2% | 29.8% | 15.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
Gwen Busch | 2.9% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 21.3% | 28.8% | 32.6% |
Sean Bascoe | 3.5% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 22.5% | 31.3% | 27.7% |
Stella Brown | 2.8% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 17.8% | 28.8% | 37.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.