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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.40+4.35vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.77+5.52vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+9.63vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+4.93vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.49+3.36vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.10+0.17vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.07-0.73vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.37+4.51vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.64-4.64vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.38-1.01vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-2.35vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.60+0.10vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.72-5.61vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.66-2.77vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.07-5.05vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.27-2.97vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.11vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College1.59-6.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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7.52Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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12.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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8.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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8.36Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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6.17Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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6.27Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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12.51Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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4.36Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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8.99Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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12.1Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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7.39Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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11.23Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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13.03University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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15.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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11.65Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.9% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Jack Derry | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 8.2% |
| Maks Groom | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 7.9% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.8% | 18.0% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Porter Bell | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 6.5% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 3.8% |
| Miles Williams | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 12.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 52.5% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.